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Week 1: The Guru Returns

My friends, the Guru returns for a fifth season of callin' 'em how he sees 'em from his lofty perch at the top of the standings.

By the way, if you're interested in back issues of the Ball, e-mail AQB or head to your local landfill where you can find my literature by looking for the heaviest, most-intelligent seagulls and bag ladies. (Sorry, newly retired 345-pound Seattle lineman Howard Ballard is considered a Seahawk, not a gull.)

Anyway, It's been a wild offseason and I'm just trying to catch my breath after hearing the latest happenings. First off, what in the name of John Elway's teeth is going on in the Mile High City?

I was absolutely STUNNED at Denver's decision to place its fate in the hands of one Brian Griese. I won't argue that Bob's Big Boy outplayed Bubby B. in the preseason. Quite handily, in fact. But, Mike Shanahan has to give the vet the chance to keep the job in the regular season.

Doesn't Bubby have some incriminating evidence he can use against Shanahan in an effort to keep the job? Where is that kid from the University of Iowa when you need him?

Certainly, the biggest news of this offseason was Barry Sanders' decision to retire from the NFL. Then again, it's hard to tell if Barry has really hung them up as the Lion King has never been a team player during the dog days of training camp.

Let's just hope this "retirement" means Barry's father, William, will finally shut up. Not only does he talk too much, he makes less sense than a swimsuit salesman in the Arctic. Any chance he is related to Richard Williams, father of tennis prodigies Venus and Serena? As God is my witness, I would rather watch Rosie O'Donnell and eat buffalo wings without blue cheese dressing than listen to either of these clowns.

Speaking of dads, my pop, Chief Redskin, is cautiously optimistic about the chances of his Mighty Skins in 1999 with a new owner and a new attitude. In fact, the Chief was recently heard making reservations for a stay in Atlanta, Ga., in the month of January. Let's not get too excited, Chief - I'm waiting until we trounce Dallas in week one.

While the Skins will win the NFC East, the league's surprise team will be the Philadelphia Eagles who, I promise you, will win at least one ballgame. Circle Jan. 2, my cheesesteak-eating, battery-tossing friends, when the Rams venture to Veteran's Stadium. No, Dick Vermeil's animals won't be afraid to go to the Vet but I see a 2-0 Birds' win when St. Louis QB Kurt Warner inadvertently runs out of his own end zone.

Also, I like the Packers to top the Jets in the Super Bowl but enough about the distant future - read below to see what will happen in week one of the '99 season.

1998 Playoff record: 8-2-1
1998 Overall record: 117-102-7

1998 records in parentheses. All times are Eastern. Picks are against the spread.

Kansas City (7-9) at Chicago (4-12) Line: KC -3 TV: CBS, 1 pm
First things first: no football team is going to win games with a coach who is named "Gunther." Gunther shows me how to yodel and cooks my bratwurst (crispy on the outside, juicy on the inside, please) but he can not and will not get it done on the sidelines. Then again, if I see him in a pair of tan knickers and red suspenders, I might change my mind.

That said, I'm not sure the Bears new headmaster, Dick Jauron has the right stuff, either. I've got a question: How in the world did he get the Chicago job after giving up 21 points a game as Jacksonville's defense coordinator in 1998? Then again, if the Bears front office were running the City of Chicago, they'd hire Mrs. O'Leary to run the Fire Department. CHIEFS (Speak Out)

Oakland (8-8) at Green Bay (11-5) Line: GB -9 TV: CBS, 1 pm
Is it just me or has Al Davis made a mockery of this franchise - firing Shanahan as head coach; signing every Heisman winner with a pulse; and (gasp) managing to make the color white look unfashionable. Oh, what the Guru could for this man by providing a little wardrobe advice.

This Packers team played second fiddle to Minnesota in '98 but I look for Favre & Co. to come out firing in week one. I've only got two serious questions about this team: 1) Can Antonio Freeman get some support and wide receiver? and 2) Is the new coach really Ray Rhodes? My goodness, he ran that Birds franchise into the ground like a man possessed and now he's being trusted to coach one of the top teams in the league? I've seen better coaches in Lamaze.

Why doesn't Ron Wolf just go to any one of Green Bay's 24-hour pubs and give the nearest barstool occupant a headset and half a million? The Pack may win games in '99, in fact I think they will, but it'll be in spite of the corpse on the sidelines. RAIDERS (Speak Out)

Buffalo (10-6) at Indianapolis (3-13) Line: BUF -2 TV: CBS, 1 pm
Everyone in Indy is getting excited by the Colts' offense, and rightfully so, but it's just hard to imagine this team being anything more than middle-of-the-road. Jim Mora, who coached the Saints to zero playoff victories during his tenure in New Orleans, is on track to repeat the feat in the only major city where you can get a license plate with Calvin AND Hobbes urinating on a Ford or Chevrolet emblem.

"Yup, them hick towns can only get you Calvin OR Hobbes - not both," says an anonymous Indianapolis councilman, straw dangling between both of his teeth. In all honesty, I'm just kidding my Midwestern friends, some of the best trailer parks I've been to are in Indianapolis. BILLS (Speak Out)

Carolina (4-12) at New Orleans (6-10) Line: NO -3 TV: Fox, 1 pm
Mr. Personality, Carolina coach George Seifert, brings his club to the Louisiana Superdome for a date with Iron Mike. I'd love to tune in for this game but I've got some toenails that need clipping and my armpit hairs won't trim themselves. Hey honey, where did I put my Weed Whacker?

New Orleans season went kaput in the preseason when star defensive end Joe Johnson collapsed with a season-ending knee injury. Carolina won't win eight this season but they'll beat the Saints with little trouble. Let's just hope that Panthers tailback Fred Lane keeps the crotch-grabbing to a minimum. PANTHERS

New England (9-7) at New York Jets (12-4) Line: NYJ -7 TV: CBS, 1 pm
Seven points is a huge spread for an intradivisional rivalry like Jets-Pats and I'm being pulled in two directions. Pete Carroll is a terrible, terrible coach who can't motivate his players but Bill Parcells' teams are notoriously slow starters.

I'm tempted to take the case of Jell-O wearing the Jets sweater but I think the loss of Wayne Chrebet will hurt this team like calorie restrictions hurt the Guru. Throw in the fact that my man Tony the Patriot, arguably the world's greatest sausage chef, recently purchased a Parcells voodoo doll and I've got to like the Pats.

Best case scenario: The game ends in a tie and that clown of a Jets fan who wears the fireman's helmet and jumps on his buddy's shoulders is diagnosed with vertigo. PATRIOTS (Speak Out)

Arizona (9-7) at Philadelphia (3-13) Line: ARZ -3 TV: Fox, 1 pm
How far the City of Brotherly Love has fallen. It seems like only yesterday the cheesesteak was invented and the Philadelphia faithful were playfully pelting Pirates' outfielder Dave Parker with harmless 9-volt batteries.

Now, this Birds team is arguably the worst franchise in the league, with more holes than your average pair of the Guru's undergarments. Last year, the Eagles team scored just 10 points per contest and they acquired a starting QB, Doug Pederson, who is a career backup. All this and they brought in a coach with no experience as a head man.

Luckily, the Birds are facing an Arizona team with numerous key injuries and a lack of confidence. Throw in the fact that the Cards' inspirational leader, fullback Larry Centers, is now playing for the 1999 NFC East Champion Redskins and it looks like the Eagles have a shot. Look again. CARDINALS (Speak Out)

Baltimore (6-10) at St. Louis (4-12) Line: pick 'em TV: CBS, 1 pm
Pity poor, poor Dick Vermeil. Just when it looked as if his Rams were improving, QB Trent Green blew out his knee in a preseason contest against San Diego. It was the latest in a serious of tough blows for Vermeil, who was also forced to bail his offensive line coach, Jim Hanifan, out of the pokey after the old guy was pulled over for driving under the influence.

St. Louis turns to Arena League refugee Kurt Warner, whose claim to fame is a fine set of bicuspids. Don't expect them to be intact after the Ravens' Ray Lewis & Co. tap dance on Warner's head.

Brian Billick's team won't be outstanding but they'll be fun to watch. Just don't expect dirtbag owner Art Modell to keep the team in Baltimore for long. The Fiji Ravens? It could happen - let's just hope we don't have to see Modell in a grass skirt.
RAVENS (Speak Out)

Cincinnati (3-13) at Tennessee (8-8) Line: TEN -9 TV: CBS, 1 pm
This Titans team is a perennial disappointment but few clubs are as dreadful year after year as the Bengals. This year should hardly be different for the Cats, whose coach, Bruce Coslet, is one of the league's most inept. If Cincinnati wins seven games, I'll wear a pink tutu, dance downtown and pay for therapy for the citizens scarred by my act.

Tennessee has a good coach in Jeff Fisher but the squad just can't seem to get over .500. Steve McNair is a talented QB whose progress has been hampered by inconsistency and the Titans must get more out of wide receiver Yancey Thigpen, who was brutal in '98. When Frank Wycheck, a Skins castoff, is your top pass catcher, you know you're in trouble. TITANS (Speak Out)

Dallas (10-6) at Washington (6-10) Line: WAS -2 TV: Fox, 1 pm
My friends, I love the Mighty Skins in this ballgame. Dallas is riddled with injuries and the usual suspensions, with defensive tackle Leon Lett serving an eight-game sentence for "just being Leon."

The Mighties, on the other hand, are primed and ready for action, thanks to the whirling dervish that is pint-sized owner Daniel Snyder. True, I could put Snyder on my knee and use him as a puppet but I like what this guy has done with the organization, especially when he canned 23 front office workers, including several secretaries. I can hear him know...

"That'll teach you to do a half-assed job of sharpening the pencils, you lazy toad. Now throw your stuff in a box and don't let the door hit you in your considerable backside." Aaah, I love Snidey.

On the field, the Skins are much improved, largely due to the acquisitions of QB Brad Johnson and CB Champ Bailey, the best player in the entire draft. Ho hum. Looks like a string of Bowls for the Skins. SKINS (Speak Out)

Minnesota (15-1) at Atlanta (14-2) Line: MIN -4 TV: Fox, 4:15 pm
The Falcons aren't getting much respect for last season's NFC Championship upset and I think I know why: It was a fluke. A big, fat fluke.

Atlanta played over its head last season, much like the Chargers team a few years ago that advanced to the Super Bowl. I don't expect QB Chris Chandler to stay healthy and the club will miss LB Cornelius Bennett more than it thinks. Throw in the fact that Jamal Anderson can't repeat last year's performance and you've got a Falcons team struggling to reach the NFC playoffs.

Minnesota, on the other hand, is a team to be reckoned with, especially if Randy Moss is as good as he was in 1998. The town better enjoy the good times while they last as owner Red McCombs is making noise about moving the club to a different locale, say his hometown of San Antonio. A couple of wild men like Randall Cunningham and David Robinson in the same town: Look out, Donnie and Marie.

It just goes to show you I was right: Don't trust a man named Red; never eat wet cement; and don't eat more than four chili dogs before going on a cross-country drive.
VIKINGS (Speak Out)

San Francisco (12-4) at Jacksonville (11-5) Line: JAX -5 TV: Fox, 4:15 pm
Why in the world is everyone hopping on the Jacksonville bandwagon? I'm the Guru and I don't know so how can a piker like yourself? Answer, you can't and you're only kidding yourself if you pretend to.

Now I'll admit that the Jags are more than loaded offensively with Brunell, Taylor, Smith, Boselli and McCardell but the defense shows me absolutely nothing. Oh, there's talent with Kevin Hardy, Carnell Lake and Tony Brackens but talent won't get you anything but a nice Web site and a horde of female admirers (see Stahl, George).

On the other hand, I look for the Niners to make one last gasp before Steve Young and Jerry Rice go the way of the Edsel and cheap food at the ballpark. If Bryant Young, he of the snapped leg, contributes, this Niners team just may be dancin' come January. NINERS (Speak Out)

Detroit (5-11) at Seattle (8-8) Line: SEA -9 TV: CBS, 4:15 pm
Everyone on God's green earth is picking the Seahawks because of the hiring of Mike Holmgren as head coach but they're forgetting that Jon Kitna is the starting quarterback. Correct me if I'm wrong but Holmgren didn't win a thing without Brett Favre in Green Bay and he won't flourish in Seattle if he doesn't get some good play from Kitna. Kitna, if you're wondering, is no Favre.

Speaking of Seattle takes me back to my honeymoon when I went to that city's weak excuse for a sports bar in 1997 to watch my Mighty Skins fall to Baltimore as Bam Morris ran for upwards of 150 yards.

As my lovely bride, Lady Fanwood, got the first of what would become more than 50 haircuts, I recall beating my head on a table made of hemp as some pseudo sports fan next to me read The Economist and drank a hot cup of Earl Grey with pinky extended. Never mind the fact that the waitresses would serve me nothing but Java and Nirvana was blaring in the background. Still, I've got to admit that the cappuccino wings weren't bad.

As for Dee-troit, this club is uglier than the group picture from an inbred reunion deep in the Appalachian Mountains. SEAHAWKS (Speak Out)

New York Giants (8-8) at Tampa Bay (8-8) Line: TB -5 TV: Fox, 4:15 pm
I don't quite know what to make of this Giants club, which I hate more than green, leafy vegetables. Jim Fassel doesn't seem to be a bad coach but I'm not sold on Kent Graham as a starter and Kerry Collins is just one night away from another embarrassing stroll out of the jailhouse.

Tampa, on the other hand, seems poised to rebound after last season's fall from grace. DT Warren Sapp reported to camp in good shape and QB Trent Dilfer may finally be ready to lead a team well into the playoffs.

I don't know if New York can make it to the postseason (and I've got my mother saying rosaries to ensure that they don't) but I know Tampa isn't going to struggle like it did last season. Look for Sapp and friends to be on Graham like Clinton on an intern. BUCS (Speak Out)

Pittsburgh (7-9) at Cleveland Line: PIT -6 TV: ESPN, 8:20 pm
The City of Cleveland is so grateful to have football back in its arms that nothing can interrupt its happiness. In fact, I fully expect the Browns backers to sit patiently through the first quarter before taking QB Ty Detmer to the parking lot and clubbing him with a rusty tire iron. True to form, Detmer will manage to throw an interception while lying motionless next to a rack of burnt ribs under a mint green "K" car.

Seriously, it's great to have the gridiron back where it belongs in a city which is arguably one of the true armpits of America. I wouldn't say Cleveland is a terrible place to live but, as an honest journalist, I think I have to.

The Steelers won't have a great season but they'll pummel this bad Browns team, especially since Chris Spielman has retired. Heck, Kordell Stewart might even throw for 100 yards. STEELERS (Speak Out)

Miami (10-6) at Denver (14-2) Line: DEN -6 TV: ABC, 9 pm
Everyone who isn't picking Jacksonville or the Jets loves Miami to advance to the Super Bowl. Am I missing something or has Dan Marino somehow regained the talent that age and injury siphoned off in the past few years?

Denver's Mike Shanahan surprised everyone in the preseason by naming Brian Griese his starting quarterback. I think Griese can play but this move has all the appearances of an ego play by Shanahan, who may want to show folks he can win the Super Bowl with anyone behind center. "Now at emergency quarterback for the Broncos, Gumby. No. 16, Gumby."

Adding to the scene Monday night will be the retirement of John Elway's No. 7 jersey. I was growing up in Denver when Elway, and the mania surrounding his arrival, came in 1983 and can honestly say he'd have no problem finding takers to wipe his fanny if he put the project up for bids. $150 is my final offer, by the way. BRONCOS (Speak Out)

Tell the Guru what you think of his selections at AQB's Speak Out board or e-mail ArmchairQB.com.

Last Season's Crystal Balls

Week 2 Week 3 Week 4
Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8
Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12
Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16
Week17 First Round Divisional Round AFC/NFC Finals




 
 

 

 

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