AQB Monitor

Today's Lineup
Sports Pages
Features
Newsstand
SPorts Links
Speak Out
Mailing List
Spotters
About Us
Home


Get 4 Risk-Free Issues of Sports Illustrated

AQB Logo

Week 12: Happy Thanksgiving

My friends, the Guru is thankful for many things.

Strong faith in God. A loving family. A good job. And, the opportunity to consume the delicious sausage of Tony the Patskin, nee Tony the Patriot, on a frequent basis.

On the football front, I am thankful that my Mighty Skins participate in the NFC East, which is to the NFL as Shake 'N Bake is to fine dining.

The Mighties aren't a great football team. Heck, on many days they aren't even average but they came up big on Sunday against the Giants and I'll take it.

Speaking of the Giants, has there ever been a more putrid offensive team in the history of the game, with an average of just 17.0 points per game?

Wait, come to think of it, there certainly has - this year's Browns (10.5) and Falcons (12.7) and Cardinals (12.8) and Bengals (14.6) and Eagles (15.1) and Chargers (15.6) and Buccaneers (15.8) and Niners (16.3) and Jets (16.7).

With all the moves the NFL has made to help offenses, it's stunning that teams struggle to put the ball in the end zone. It sure looks like more than a few NFL offensive coordinators should be thankful for their jobs on this holiday.

On a happier front, last week I was 13-3, including Lehigh's victory over Lafayette, moving my record to 55-32. Let me take care of a couple of those offenses.

The Lock of the Week, now at 3-1, travels to the hinterlands of Minnesota, where the Vikings are sure to lay a whippin' on the fading Chargers.

Please check back Friday for the rest of the Guru's picks.

The Standings

The Guru 55-32 How does he do it?
The Norvell 38-51-1 Light at end of tunnel?
The Swamp Fox 34-80-1 Hello Cincinnati!







The Games



All times are Eastern. Picks are straight up, not against the spread.

Chicago (5-6) at Detroit (6-4) TV: 12:30 p.m., Fox
The Bears have been revived by the arm of (gasp!) journeyman Jim Miller, whose NFL resume is as impressive as the average Chicagoan's vocabulary. Bar, tavern, Cubs, Bulls, Bears, Old Style...that's pretty much it.

Detroit started 6-2 but has experienced a couple of tough losses in recent weeks. Is their magic finally running out? Hey, if Doug Henning can keep it going for this long, so can Bobby Ross & Co. Lions, 26-24.
(Speak Out)

Miami (8-2) at Dallas (5-5) TV: CBS, 4:15 p.m.
The prodigal son - Jimmy Johnson - returns to Dallas but I don't see Jerry Jones killing the fatted calf, unless Nike asks him to. These guys act like they respect each other but that's like the Guru pretending he doesn't want the last helping of stuffing. And I'm a bowl scraper, my friends.

Dallas usually performs well on Thanksgiving but the Dolphins are red hot and I'm not sure the return of Troy Aikman will make much of a difference. How about a repeat of the gaffe Dallas defensive tackle Leon Lett committed on Thanksgiving a few years ago? Dolphins, 23-20 . (Speak Out)

Arizona (4-6) at New York Giants (5-5) TV: Fox, 1 p.m.

Neither of these teams has an offense to speak of, though the Giants think they'll be able to move the ball behind Kerry Collins. With overly optimistic thinking like that, I suppose coach Jim Fassel also expects to get good service at a toll booth on the New Jersey Turnpike.

This Arizona team is perhaps the league's most disappointing and Sunday won't be any better. Giants, 20-12.
(Speak Out)

Jacksonville (9-1) at Baltimore (4-6) TV: CBS, 1 p.m.
Last week, the Jags gave up their first rushing touchdown of the season in a win over the Saints. Meanwhile, the Ravens had to get an overtime field goal to beat the absolutely hapless Bengals.

The Ravens have surrendered just 181 points in 10 games but their offense waves the white flag on a weekly basis. As sure as I'm cooking sausage, Baltimore will turn it over five times on Sunday. Jaguars, 16-0 . (Speak Out)

New England (6-4) at Buffalo (7-4) TV: CBS, 1 p.m.
Still reeling from the defection of former No. 1 fan Tony the Patriot, New England is in fourth place in the AFC East. In fact, if the season ended today, the Patriots wouldn't make the postseason and coach Pete Carroll wouldn't make it out of the parking lot. Well, at least some of his appendages wouldn't.

Buffalo has shown tremendous grit in recent weeks, despite last week's defeat to the Jets. I'd be shocked, dismayed and hungry if the Bills didn't roll over the Pats this weekend. Bills, 27-14.
(Speak Out)

New Orleans (2-8) at St. Louis (8-2) TV: Fox, 1 p.m.
I think Saints coach Mike Ditka is a great man and a good football coach but let's face it: his act has worn as thin as a pair of the Guru's lycra boxers.

Kurt Warner & Co. continue to crush everyone in their wake and there's no reason to think this week will be any different. Emotional moment of the week will occur in the fourth period when Rams coach Dick Vermeil gets teary-eyed after spotting his ballet teacher from the second grade. Rams, 50-2.
(Speak Out)

Philadelphia (3-8) at Washington (6-4) TV: Fox, 1 p.m.
Just two weeks ago, the Eagles upset the Redskins, causing your beloved Guru to upchuck half a dozen of the sausages he'd consumed at the morning tailgate.

This week, the Mighties will rely on the strength of two men reclining on their respective couches in the Midwest - Fatback Hobbs and Chief Redskin, the one who sired the Guru. Fatback inspires the Skins with his feats at the dinner table, which he'll butter and munch on if he gets hungry, while the Chief cites in-game napping as his most important contribution. Skins, 33-16.
(Speak Out)

San Diego (4-6) at Minnesota (6-4) TV: CBS, 1 p.m.
The honeymoon is over for Dan Riley in San Diego. The Guru and many others questioned the Chargers decision to hire the neophyte coach after he guided Oregon State to a 5-6 record in 1998.

Now, the Chargers are falling faster than Ryan Leaf on a bad patch of flag football grass and Dennis Erickson's Beavers are a bowl-bound 7-4. Minnesota is lighting it up recently and Sunday's game will be a virtual Menlo Park.
Vikings, 41-14. (Speak Out)

Tennessee (8-2) at Cleveland (2-9) TV: CBS, 1 p.m.
What's a bigger surprise, that Tennessee has been able to win eight games or that Cleveland has managed to win two. I'm impressed by coach Jeff Fisher's club but the Browns two wins are nothing short of miraculous.

That said, the city of Cleveland is in for a rough 20 years or so with a weak football team and a baseball team on the decline. Throw in the fact that Drew Carey doesn't look as good as he used to and it might be time to take Prime Minister Chretien up on his offer to annex Ohio. Titans, 24-16. (Speak Out)

Kansas City (5-5) at Oakland (5-5) TV: CBS, 4:15 p.m.
KC Coach Gunther Cunningham's distaste for the Raiders is legendary. In fact, Cunningham won't even wear silver and black, which is good because it'd clash with his eyes and banana-colored glasses.

Is there any coach in football with a more bone-chilling glare than Jon Gruden? Man, I'd rather undergo surgery without anesthesia and eat fat free cheese than get on his bad side. Raiders, 26-25
. (Speak Out)

New York Jets (4-6) at Indianapolis (8-2) TV: CBS, 4:15 p.m.
The Jets are playing good ball but the Colts are even better, relying on the trio of Peyton Manning, Edgerrin James and Marvin Harrison.

Even if the Jets finish strong, I look for this to be the swan song for Bill Parcells, who takes being miserable to a new level. This week's example: He woke up half an hour early each morning to throw rocks at his paper boy. Colts, 34-24. (Speak Out)

Tampa Bay (6-4) at Seattle (8-2) TV: Fox, 4:15 p.m.
The Bucs are making a playoff run but things won't get easier in Seattle, where the Seahawks are flying higher than a helium-filled Joey Galloway.

Coach Mike Holmgren has turned the Seahawks into a good football team almost overnight, reminding many of the Guru's transformation from duckling into a swan at the debutante's ball. Seahawks, 24-9. (Speak Out)

Atlanta (2-8) at Carolina (4-6) TV: ESPN, 8:20 p.m.
Wow, the folks at ESPN must be happy about this ballgame. A dud team with an old coach against a dud team with an old coach who thinks he's young. Well, at least the Panthers are still playing hard - the Falcons mailed it in as soon as RB Jamal Anderson went down with an injury in Week One.

Bad news for Atlanta: the commissioner's office has just ruled that you have to score to win. Game over. Panthers, 30-7. (Speak Out)

MONDAY
Green Bay (5-5) at San Francisco (3-7) TV: ABC, 9 p.m.
The Packers aren't good but mark my words: the Niners will not win another game this season. This team has quit on Steve Mariucci and, like a good crop of tomatoes, you can bet he'll be canned when the season is over.

My suggestion is to sit back, grab a snack and enjoy the demise of these two franchises. Packers, 29-13. (Speak Out)

SATURDAY
Lehigh (10-1) at Hofstra (10-1) TV: Fox Sports New York, Noon
On the off-chance you're not enamored with the I-AA football playoffs, I'll be brief. 1) Lehigh will run up and down on the Dutchmen this weekend. 2) Tony the Pat and I will will resume our carnivorous ways. 3) The rumors about Tony and I are untrue. Lehigh, 37-34. (Speak Out)

Tell the Guru what you think of his selections at AQB's Speak Out board or e-mail ArmchairQB.com.

Previous Crystal Balls

Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6
Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Week 10 Week 11  

1998 Crystal Balls

Week 2 Week 3 Week 4
Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8
Week 9 Week 10 Week 11 Week 12
Week 13 Week 14 Week 15 Week 16
Week17 First Round Divisional Round AFC/NFC Finals




 
 

 

 

Today's Lineup | Sports Pages | Features | Newsstand | Sports Links
Speak Out | Mailing List | Scouting Dept. | About Us | Home
Contact us at Info@ArmchairQB.com


Design & Hosting by BLAZE inter.NET